Inflation Slows In July, But Lingers At Target Ceiling

Brazil’s IPCA consumer price inflation decelerated sharply in July under the influence of diminished transportation and personal spending costs, but remained near the ceiling of the twelve-month target range, the IBGE statistics institute reported. The institute said inflation rose just 0.01% during the month, tracking a 1.35 percentage-point decline in transportation costs and a 1.45 percentage point drop in personal spending. The IPCA index, however, remained at 6.50% over twelve months, down only slightly from 6.52% reported in June. According to recent central bank market surveys, the IPCA index is seen lingering near the 6.5% target ceiling for the remainder of this year and into 2015. Brazil’s central bank in the past year raised its base Selic interest rate more than 3 percentage points to 11% in an effort to curb accelerated inflation, but paused rate hikes, saying it planned to monitor the effects of its recent tightening cycle before before making further alterations in the Selic.